- Market: Crude Oil Futures, @CL
- Subscription: $100,- monthly
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May 24th., 2019 update
The more conservative setup used, selecting fewer trades for the period with the increased volatility in the CL market. The dynamic trailing stop included. Basic protective hard stop loss trimmed to $1,500.
Feb. 5th., 2019 update
We have added our proprietary condition for the short trades allowance. This condition has blocked short trades in the less favorable market conditions. The total number of short trades decreased, but the overall profitability of the short trades was improved. Profit factor of short trades jumped from 2.24 to 3.56
Jan. 10th., 2019 update
- profit trailing adjusted – more balanced default setting of profit trailing used
- position exit management improved – adaptable position close added
the MAJOR UPDATE, released on December 1st., 2018
- short trades added
- trailing profit
- market flexibility – different modes for different stages of the market
We are learning from the ever-changing markets and improving our systems constantly. The major update comes when our methodology confirms the mean transformation of the environment, not only the temporary market deviation. Also, I was listening to your comments and needs all the years carefully. We were working hard to improve our oldest and most traded strategy Pegas 1 CL. Here is the result.
Our target for the major system update was to limit the downside and keep the upside potential of the system. Also, the protection of the opened intraday profit was one of the objectives, often pronounced by you, valued clients and Pegas 1 traders. Smoothening of the monthly and annual results, lowering the first standard deviation of it, was also one of the goals. This update was developed in July 2018.
Pegas 1 CL is now long/short intraday system. The system trades long or short side, always max. 1 contract of @CL futures is traded in a day. No position is kept overnight. When the market mood is changed during the trading hours, Pegas 1 is adapted to it and closes the opened profit immediately. Over the system inner logic, each position is protected with the stop loss right when opened. The system is always monitoring the proper market conditions, then identifying resistance levels and waiting for the breakout, up or down. The strategy is avoiding the imminent report moves and enter the trades in the more conservative way.
Pegas 1, as well as all our systems, is supervised, maintained and reoptimized regularly. Our in-house design and service rules include walk-forward analysis, Monte Carlo analysis, win/loss ratio protocol, distribution analysis, and others.
Pegas 1 was created in 2011. It was traded in my SIM account for two years, 2011-2013. From February 2013 I am trading Pegas 1 in my own real personal accounts daily. I am adding more instances every year. In 2015 Pegas 1 was released for leasing. The system was adopted by hundreds of clients worldwide since 2015, with the majority still traded in the USA.
Pegas 1 makes a profit every year and almost every month, it makes the new equity highs every year regardless of longterm crude oil trend.
Pegas 1 usually has 12 – 15 trades per month.
Recommended capital is from $10.000,- for the solo system, the more conservative approach is $12 or $15 thousand. If traded in the portfolio, suggested capital decreases substantially in most cases.
ACTUAL RESULTS SHOULD BE VIEWED WITH CAUTION, BECAUSE PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.